Competitors Micron and Samsung have already announced capex cut-backs. The three have an 81% market share in the NAND market.

China’s NAND competitor, Yangtze Memory of Wuhan,  is running its first 100,000 wpm fab at full capacity and will bring a second, 200k wpm,  fab on-line later this year.

It is not unknown in the memory business for companies to engineer a market glut to ensure that an investment by a new player is unprofitable.

See also: Hynix considering 25% cut in 2023 capex